BJP-Led NDA Inches Closer to Rajya Sabha Majority: Analysis of Latest Polls

By manish198832 Feb 29, 2024

BJP-Led NDA Inches Closer to Rajya Sabha Majority

BJP-Led-In the corridors of power, the recent Rajya Sabha elections have sparked a wave of anticipation and strategic maneuvering as the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) finds itself just three seats shy of securing a majority in the upper house of the Indian Parliament. With the electoral battleground witnessing the contestation of 56 Rajya Sabha seats this month, the BJP has made significant strides, edging closer to the coveted mark of 100 seats. The cumulative tally for the NDA now stands at 118, signaling a formidable presence in the upper echelons of legislative decision-making.

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BJP-Led-Preceding the recent electoral showdown, a notable 41 out of the 56 seats had already been clinched uncontested earlier in the month. However, the spotlight shifted to the fierce electoral battles waged on Tuesday for the remaining 15 seats spread across three states. In a strategic coup, the BJP managed to secure two additional seats, notably in Congress-governed Himachal Pradesh and the politically pivotal state of Uttar Pradesh. This feat was made possible by deft political maneuvering and unexpected instances of cross-voting by MLAs from the Congress and the Samajwadi Party.

BJP-Led-The arithmetic of power projection in the 245-member Rajya Sabha hinges on the crucial threshold of 123 seats for a majority. However, the current landscape is marked by the presence of five vacant seats, with four of them stemming from the region of Jammu and Kashmir, which has been under the purview of President’s Rule. Additionally, one seat lies vacant in the nominated member category. Consequently, the effective strength of the house stands at 240, recalibrating the majority mark to 121 seats.

BJP-Led-The ramifications of the BJP’s ascendancy in the Lok Sabha, the lower house of Parliament, have amplified the significance of numerical superiority in the Rajya Sabha, particularly in the realm of legislative passage. Historically, the Opposition’s stronghold in the Rajya Sabha had posed formidable obstacles to the passage of pivotal bills, exemplified by the impasse surrounding the contentious land reform and Triple Talaq Bills in 2017 and 2018, respectively. Although the former was not reintroduced, the government persevered to enact the Triple Talaq Bill during its subsequent term.

BJP-Led-The post-2019 political landscape witnessed a recalibration of power dynamics, as the NDA government, despite lacking an outright majority, deftly navigated the legislative labyrinth to secure the passage of pivotal bills. Notable legislative victories include the repeal of Article 370, the abolition of triple talaq, and the Delhi Service Bill, achieved through strategic alliances with neutral parties such as Naveen Patnaik’s Biju Janata Dal and the YSR Congress from Andhra Pradesh.

For the Congress-led Opposition, the prospect of assuming a minority position in the Rajya Sabha portends a precarious predicament, further constraining their leverage in the realm of legislative deliberations and policy formulation.

As the political theater unfolds, the contours of the INDIA bloc’s seat-sharing arrangements remain in flux. The impending deliberations between the Congress and its allies, namely the Shiv Sena and Sharad Pawar’s faction of the Nationalist Congress Party, are poised to delineate the allocation of seats in Maharashtra, setting the stage for future parliamentary battles and coalition dynamics.

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